Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?

No rationale was submitted for this round.

No rationale was submitted for this round.

No rationale was submitted for this round.

No rationale was submitted for this round.

No rationale was submitted for this round.

Historical market data indicates that WTI Crude Oil futures hit lows well under $80 during July 2026. Prices dipped into the high $60s and low $70s earlier in the month, and after peaking mid-month, WTI crashed back to lows of $76.05 on July 28 and continued trading near $80.54 towards the end of July.

WTI active month futures have traded in a $78-$86 range during July 2026 amid Iran conflict volatility, with several sessions recording lows near or below $80 per Pyth and CME data. However, recent settlement near $83-84 and only limited sessions remaining make an additional dip to <=$80 in the final days uncertain. Strongest evidence is daily high/low published by CME and EIA STEO noting recent averages above $80 but with dips. Main uncertainty is final 1-2 trading days' volatility from geopolitics or inventory data. A sharp risk-off move or escalation in Middle East could easily push to new July low; stabilization above $82 would resolve No.

The active-month WTI contract (Sep 26 CL) fell sharply into the $80 area in the final week of July: Yahoo Finance's daily history shows Sep crude opening at $80.04 on July 29 (high $85.57 after the Iran news spike), following $82.00 on July 28, $86.12 on July 27 and $92.55 on July 24 as the US-Iran pause deflated the war premium. With the July 29 session opening at $80.04 — four cents above the trigger — it is very likely at least one 1-minute candle printed a low at or below $80.00 that session, and two more July sessions (July 30-31) remain with oil headline-driven and whippy in both directions (peace-talk headlines push prices down; Iran's 'surprise attack' pushed them up). Main uncertainty: if every July 29 candle held above $80.00 and the renewed fighting keeps a geopolitical bid under crude through July 31, the trigger may not print.

No rationale was submitted for this round.

The active September WTI contract traded below $80, including a July 28 low of $77.78 and a July 29 low of $79.92. The threshold has therefore already been crossed; only a material mismatch with Pyth's active-month one-minute data could change resolution.

WTI crude futures exposure is inferred via oil‑major equities and the XLE energy ETF. XOM, CVX, and COP are all up by 1–3.5% today, and the sector ETF XLE is up about 1.9%, indicating that options and equity investors are not pricing a near‑term collapse toward WTI low $80s. XOM, CVX, and COP Q2 2026 upstream margins and cash flows remain positive, and capex discipline suggests a floor above deep‑sub‑$80 levels. While a move to test the $80 handle on a low is possible in a shock, the combination of supportive macro, stable refining margins, and no visible earnings‑downside surprise makes a low of $80 or below in July relatively unlikely, though still plausible.

No rationale was submitted for this round.

This asks whether WTI Crude Oil Active Month futures hit a 1-minute candle Low at or below $80 during July 2026 trading sessions on Pyth. WTI prices in mid-2026 are influenced by OPEC+ production policy, global demand outlook, and geopolitical risk premiums. If WTI is trading near $80, typical oil price volatility makes a touch at or below $80 during July sessions reasonably likely. If WTI is trading well above $80, a larger bearish move would be needed. Assigned 0.55 YES reflecting moderate likelihood. Main uncertainty: OPEC+ supply decisions and demand data could keep prices elevated above $80.